Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 331.202011 375.974991 425.975039 486.210412 557.149402 638.454045 739.286058
2025-07-06 253.430973 308.484729 375.502026 464.041005 579.368672 726.504852 931.709590
2025-07-13 226.797230 289.279996 369.929002 483.572512 642.733749 862.626349 1198.353637
2025-07-20 208.898515 276.770907 368.694243 505.422549 709.209025 1011.196115 1511.723566
2025-07-27 189.593495 258.935452 356.561149 508.355159 746.673127 1121.620939 1789.513349
2025-08-03 169.847509 237.713283 336.315531 495.329921 756.086963 1187.817311 2006.768164
2025-08-10 154.418887 220.873952 320.184235 485.726609 768.256991 1258.864241 2247.019727
2025-08-17 146.927637 214.975864 319.712352 500.532173 822.684485 1411.998471 2681.217306
2025-08-24 136.904553 204.080617 310.030324 498.393178 846.434922 1512.326254 3033.620168
2025-08-31 126.999175 192.417286 297.825116 490.153754 857.296044 1588.921021 3354.156580
2025-09-07 120.136642 185.036173 291.905575 492.160841 887.568176 1709.961125 3813.681933
2025-09-14 111.906504 174.697383 279.960391 481.611927 891.216534 1774.673481 4151.919771
2025-09-21 105.652280 167.377261 272.902152 480.051755 914.339202 1890.318946 4674.119975
2025-09-28 97.011025 155.353293 256.544463 458.814565 893.019794 1899.637489 4902.652721
2025-10-05 94.971617 154.632954 260.445901 478.004934 962.742502 2143.658103 5933.624092
2025-10-12 93.326297 154.445695 265.251665 499.556253 1041.535109 2430.647907 7243.984475
2025-10-19 89.454050 149.915394 261.418465 502.446390 1076.809821 2610.387278 8271.277326
2025-10-26 84.067914 142.221703 250.852318 489.604956 1071.571959 2675.175074 8895.835738
2025-11-02 79.505723 135.770660 242.226532 480.136391 1073.485251 2761.963549 9658.936709
2025-11-09 77.860109 134.707974 244.207641 494.733957 1140.204619 3064.091214 11542.059905
2025-11-16 74.618630 130.364503 239.190069 492.625094 1161.968736 3229.644009 12903.868558
2025-11-23 71.031215 125.127715 231.944416 484.501483 1165.926986 3337.568897 14053.662132
2025-11-30 68.634520 122.081032 229.035131 486.480397 1198.955707 3556.232547 15972.669017